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Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Swiatek vs Keys analysis and find out who is favored!
Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Swiatek has won 55.05% of points on his second serve, while Keys has won 47.44%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Swiatek, in recent form, has won 60.06% of his opponent's second serve points, while Keys has won 54.78%. The same stats for first serve returns are 42.7% and 34.96% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Swiatek has saved 70.45% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Keys has saved 57.85% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Swiatek has won 88.51% of matches played (W/L 77/ 10), with Keys winning 68.29% (W/L 28/ 13) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Swiatek has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 88% (W/L 123/ 17), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 16/ 7). Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15).
- Player level: In the last year, Swiatek has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 89.58% of matches (W/L 43/ 5), where as Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 57.89% of matches (W/L 11/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Swiatek winning 4 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Swiatek winning 8 and Keys winning 2. The last match between Swiatek and Keys was at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome, 14-05-2024, Quarterfinals, Clay with Iga Swiatek getting the victory 6-1 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:14:33.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Swiatek and Keys have played a deciding set 0 times, with Swiatek winning 0 times and Keys 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Swiatek winning 0, and Keys 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Swiatek has played against opponents with an average rank of 73.57 while Keys has played against players with an average rank of 105.34.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Swiatek has won 63% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Keys has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Swiatek has converted 47.06% of breakpoint opportunities, and Keys has converted 42.86% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Swiatek 4 - 1 Keys
1
Rank
1
High
22
Age
R
Plays
4
Total1
1
Hard1
3
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
16
Rank
7
High
29
Age
R
Plays
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
Form
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
82% (321-71)
Career Total W/L
64% (370-212)
90% (36-4)
YTD W/L
67% (10-5)
$23,408,881
Career Prize Money
$15,002,587
4
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Iga Swiatek | Madison Keys |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Sets Won | 8 | 2 |
| Games Won | 56 | 27 |
| Aces (Total) | 2 | 16 |
| DFs (Total) | 8 | 5 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:14:33 | 1:14:33 |
| 1st Serve % | 61% (170/278) | 61% (150/246) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 71% (121/170) | 57% (85/150) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 55% (59/108) | 41% (39/96) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 63% (20/32) | 21% (7/34) |
| Return Points W% | 50% (122/246) | 35% (98/278) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 80% (4/5) | 20% (1/5) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (4/4) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (4/0) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 0% (4/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-1 6-3 |
Stats 
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve %
56%
(
23 of
41)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
14 of
23)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
8 of
18)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
10)
33%
(
21 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
19 of
41)
62
Total Points Won
43
|
||||
| 6-1 6-3 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
72%
(
36 of
50)
1st Serve %
62%
(
28 of
45)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
0
69%
(
25 of
36)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
79%
(
11 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
14 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
24 of
45)
60
Total Points Won
35
|
||||
| 6-3 6-4 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Iga Swiatek
63%
(
35 of
56)
1st Serve %
54%
(
34 of
63)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
66%
(
23 of
35)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
22 of
34)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
10 of
29)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
38%
(
21 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
31 of
63)
66
Total Points Won
53
|
||||
| 6-1 6-0 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
56%
(
25 of
45)
1st Serve %
61%
(
22 of
36)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
84%
(
21 of
25)
1st Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
21%
(
3 of
14)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
29%
(
13 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
67%
(
24 of
36)
56
Total Points Won
25
|
||||
| 7-5 6-1 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
48%
(
27 of
56)
1st Serve %
62%
(
42 of
68)
1
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
1
70%
(
19 of
27)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
24 of
42)
62%
(
18 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
10 of
26)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
34 of
68)
71
Total Points Won
53
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Iga Swiatek | Madison Keys |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 90% (36/4) | 67% (10/5) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 85% (74/13) | 58% (21/15) |
| Games Win/Loss | 65% (493/260) | 51% (175/166) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 88% (22/3) | 60% (3/2) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 92% (12/1) | 70% (7/3) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 100% (2/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.16 | 0.34 |
| Aces Total | 58 | 56 |
| DFs per game | 0.17 | 0.2 |
| DFs Total | 63 | 33 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:37:55 | 1:43:11 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 65.28 | 105.53 |
| 1st Serve % | 68% (1655/2447) | 65% (716/1106) |
| 1st Serve W% | 69% (1140/1655) | 65% (463/716) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 55% (436/792) | 47% (185/390) |
| BPs Won% Total | 47% (176/374) | 43% (54/126) |
| Return Pts W% | 49% (1237/2501) | 43% (478/1124) |
| Slam W/L | 67% (2/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Masters W/L | 93% (25/2) | 71% (10/4) |
| Cups W/L | 100% (2/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 88% (7/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 90% (36/40) | 67% (10/15) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 80% (4/5) | 100% (5/5) |
| Deciding Set W% | 71% (5/7) | 83% (5/6) |
| 1st set W, W | 97% (34/33) | 90% (10/9) |
| 1st set W, L | 3% (34/1) | 10% (10/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 50% (6/3) | 20% (5/1) |
Iga Swiatek Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve %
56%
(
23 of
41)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
14 of
23)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
8 of
18)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
10)
33%
(
21 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
19 of
41)
62
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Angelique Kerber
73%
(
45 of
62)
1st Serve %
62%
(
43 of
69)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
6
67%
(
30 of
45)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
26 of
43)
71%
(
12 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
11 of
26)
31%
(
4 of
13)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
32%
(
20 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
32 of
69)
74
Total Points Won
57
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Yulia Putintseva
62%
(
45 of
73)
1st Serve %
74%
(
45 of
61)
0
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
71%
(
32 of
45)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
30 of
45)
61%
(
17 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
5 of
16)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
33%
(
24 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
26 of
61)
75
Total Points Won
59
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Bernarda Pera
58%
(
30 of
52)
1st Serve %
64%
(
39 of
61)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
70%
(
21 of
30)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
20 of
39)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
6 of
22)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
35%
(
18 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
35 of
61)
69
Total Points Won
44
|
6-0 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
68 of
118)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
52 of
78)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
46 of
68)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
24 of
50)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
39%
(
46 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
48 of
118)
121
Total Points Won
116
|
7-5 4-6 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
72%
(
36 of
50)
1st Serve %
62%
(
28 of
45)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
0
69%
(
25 of
36)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
79%
(
11 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
14 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
24 of
45)
60
Total Points Won
35
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
70%
(
49 of
70)
1st Serve %
66%
(
63 of
96)
0
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
6
63%
(
31 of
49)
1st Serve Won
44%
(
28 of
63)
62%
(
13 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
16 of
33)
39%
(
7 of
18)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
37%
(
26 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
52 of
96)
96
Total Points Won
70
|
4-6 6-0 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
63%
(
24 of
38)
1st Serve %
76%
(
29 of
38)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
18 of
24)
1st Serve Won
24%
(
7 of
29)
64%
(
9 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
29%
(
11 of
38)
Rtn Points Won
74%
(
28 of
38)
55
Total Points Won
21
|
6-1 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Sorana Cirstea
64%
(
29 of
45)
1st Serve %
47%
(
25 of
53)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
66%
(
19 of
29)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
69%
(
11 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
9 of
28)
43%
(
6 of
14)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
33%
(
15 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
31 of
53)
61
Total Points Won
37
|
6-1 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Xiyu Wang
63%
(
33 of
52)
1st Serve %
78%
(
38 of
49)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
73%
(
24 of
33)
1st Serve Won
42%
(
16 of
38)
47%
(
9 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
64%
(
7 of
11)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
37%
(
19 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
26 of
49)
59
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Madison Keys Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve %
56%
(
23 of
41)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
14 of
23)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
8 of
18)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
10)
33%
(
21 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
19 of
41)
62
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Sorana Cirstea
73%
(
35 of
48)
1st Serve %
62%
(
28 of
45)
5
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
71%
(
25 of
35)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
54%
(
7 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
5 of
17)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
33%
(
16 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
26 of
45)
58
Total Points Won
35
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
55%
(
42 of
76)
1st Serve %
61%
(
62 of
102)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
67%
(
28 of
42)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
35 of
62)
44%
(
15 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
18 of
40)
54%
(
7 of
13)
Break Points Won
83%
(
5 of
6)
43%
(
33 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
49 of
102)
92
Total Points Won
86
|
6-4 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
68%
(
45 of
66)
1st Serve %
68%
(
65 of
96)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
5
69%
(
31 of
45)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
36 of
65)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
11 of
31)
39%
(
7 of
18)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
38%
(
25 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
49 of
96)
90
Total Points Won
72
|
6-0 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
72%
(
36 of
50)
1st Serve %
62%
(
28 of
45)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
0
69%
(
25 of
36)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
79%
(
11 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
14 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
24 of
45)
60
Total Points Won
35
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Ons Jabeur
65%
(
53 of
82)
1st Serve %
62%
(
39 of
63)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
0
62%
(
33 of
53)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
28 of
39)
59%
(
17 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
11 of
24)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
39%
(
32 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
24 of
63)
74
Total Points Won
71
|
0-6 7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Cori Gauff
64%
(
77 of
121)
1st Serve %
52%
(
55 of
105)
1
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
13
58%
(
45 of
77)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
37 of
55)
41%
(
18 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
20 of
50)
50%
(
7 of
14)
Break Points Won
47%
(
7 of
15)
48%
(
58 of
121)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
48 of
105)
111
Total Points Won
115
|
7-6(4) 4-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
70%
(
37 of
53)
1st Serve %
65%
(
37 of
57)
7
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
2
78%
(
29 of
37)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
24 of
37)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
5 of
20)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
28%
(
15 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
28 of
57)
66
Total Points Won
44
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Irina-Camelia Begu
68%
(
67 of
98)
1st Serve %
69%
(
58 of
84)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
4
67%
(
45 of
67)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
37 of
58)
42%
(
13 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
12 of
26)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
23%
(
3 of
13)
41%
(
40 of
98)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
35 of
84)
93
Total Points Won
89
|
7-6(3) 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jaqueline Cristian
Player
Madison Keys
52%
(
45 of
86)
1st Serve %
66%
(
56 of
85)
0
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
4
67%
(
30 of
45)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
33 of
56)
49%
(
20 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
14 of
29)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
42%
(
36 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
38 of
85)
88
Total Points Won
83
|
3-6 6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
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